My understanding of the omnibus ratings are they count every (logged-in?) player on every platform who has recently-ish completed the game and gone through the NPS survey (the “how likely would you be to recommend this title?” choice).
While they don’t capture every sale, they do reflect pre/non-omnibus sales, especially as older games are replayed. Given Wayhaven has sequels, I felt the likelihood of replays was quite high.
However, thinking about it some more, I agree the omnibus ratings lowball the true sales figures by far more than I was originally assuming.
Doing some more back of the napkin math, in March 2022 Fallen Hero had sold ~42k units. At that time, it was sitting at around 2,999 ratings in the omnibus; today it’s sitting at around 8,400. I’m going to assume this jump does not reflect FH1 going gangbusters in sales in the last two years, though I’d be happy to be proven wrong. For the sake of calculation, let’s assume it has sold 8,000 units since 2022.
Applying a similar ratio to the Wayhaven numbers (20000 WH1 ratings/(8400 FH1 ratings/50000 FH1 units)
), it’s reasonable to assume around 120,000 WH1 units sold, if the same ratio holds (that may well be a bad assumption!).
In which case, $1,000,000 is indeed a plausible revenue figure, I stand corrected.
Feel free to quibble with any of these assumptions, it’s all reckless speculation.
Not sure about 300,000 though. Got any numbers to back that up?